Winio forecast accuracy
An open dataset: the share of matches where the model picked the winner correctly. Computed automatically from finished CS2 and Dota 2 matches over the last 6 months and refreshed daily.
Two forecasts are counted for every match: pre-draft, made before heroes and maps are known, and post-draft, made after the draft. A match enters the statistics when a forecast exists for that stage and the winner is known. Forecasts are published on an "as-is" basis, with no guarantee of outcome.
Only rows with at least 10 matches are published: on a smaller sample the share of correct forecasts is not meaningful.
Best tournament in the period
100.0% — CCT SA 2026 Series #5 · CS2 · post-draft · 38 matches
Data export
By month
| Period | Game | Stage | Matches | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | CS2 | pre-draft | 483 | 288 | 59.6% |
| 2026-09 | CS2 | post-draft | 120 | 106 | 88.3% |
| 2026-09 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 95 | 68 | 71.6% |
| 2026-09 | Dota 2 | post-draft | 43 | 32 | 74.4% |
| 2026-08 | CS2 | pre-draft | 354 | 223 | 63.0% |
| 2026-08 | CS2 | post-draft | 253 | 237 | 93.7% |
| 2026-08 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 75 | 52 | 69.3% |
| 2026-08 | Dota 2 | post-draft | 86 | 84 | 97.7% |
| 2026-07 | CS2 | pre-draft | 396 | 242 | 61.1% |
| 2026-07 | CS2 | post-draft | 18 | 15 | 83.3% |
| 2026-07 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 28 | 14 | 50.0% |
| 2026-06 | CS2 | pre-draft | 175 | 103 | 58.9% |
| 2026-06 | CS2 | post-draft | 16 | 15 | 93.8% |
| 2026-06 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 53 | 31 | 58.5% |
| 2026-06 | Dota 2 | post-draft | 15 | 12 | 80.0% |
| 2026-05 | CS2 | pre-draft | 118 | 70 | 59.3% |
| 2026-05 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 22 | 11 | 50.0% |
By tournament
| Tournament | Game | Stage | Matches | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETBOOM Storm #4 | CS2 | pre-draft | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
| BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 30 | 17 | 56.7% |
| BLAST Open Fall 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 28 | 19 | 67.9% |
| BLAST Open Fall 2026 | CS2 | post-draft | 28 | 28 | 100.0% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Challengers #4 | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Challengers #5 | CS2 | pre-draft | 13 | 8 | 61.5% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #10 Play-In | CS2 | pre-draft | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #2 Play-In | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #4 | CS2 | pre-draft | 31 | 19 | 61.3% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #5 | CS2 | pre-draft | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #6 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #7 | CS2 | pre-draft | 26 | 15 | 57.7% |
| CCT Eu 2026 Series #9 | CS2 | pre-draft | 36 | 19 | 52.8% |
| CCT SA 2026 Challengers #3 | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #3 | CS2 | pre-draft | 26 | 21 | 80.8% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #4 | CS2 | pre-draft | 19 | 10 | 52.6% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #5 | CS2 | pre-draft | 35 | 24 | 68.6% |
| CCT SA 2026 Series #5 | CS2 | post-draft | 38 | 38 | 100.0% |
| Circuit X Curitiba #3 | CS2 | pre-draft | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| Circuito Retake Season 12 | CS2 | pre-draft | 23 | 14 | 60.9% |
| EPL Masters I | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 16 | 10 | 62.5% |
| EPL Masters II | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 30 | 23 | 76.7% |
| EPL Masters II | Dota 2 | post-draft | 30 | 22 | 73.3% |
| ESL Challenger League Season 52: Eu - Cup #1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| ESL Challenger League Season 52: Europe - Cup #4 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| ESL Challenger League Season 52: NA - Cup #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| ESL Challenger League Season 52: Oceania - Cup #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| ESL Challenger League Season 52: SA - Cup #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Esports World Cup 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 98 | 67 | 68.4% |
| Esports World Cup 2026 | CS2 | post-draft | 72 | 65 | 90.3% |
| Esports World Cup: Duel of the players | CS2 | post-draft | 10 | 10 | 100.0% |
| Essence II | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| European Pro League 40 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| European Pro League Series 7 | CS2 | pre-draft | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| European Pro League Series 8 | CS2 | pre-draft | 19 | 10 | 52.6% |
| EWC 2026: OQ | CS2 | pre-draft | 32 | 22 | 68.8% |
| EWC 2026: OQ | CS2 | post-draft | 55 | 52 | 94.5% |
| Exort Series #33 | CS2 | pre-draft | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| Fiesta Series #1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Fiesta Series 2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| FISSURE Playground #3 | CS2 | pre-draft | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| FISSURE Playground #3 | CS2 | post-draft | 24 | 17 | 70.8% |
| G Play Connect 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 26 | 16 | 61.5% |
| Games of the Future 2026 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| IEM Atlanta 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 21 | 10 | 47.6% |
| IEM Beijing 2026: Global CQ | CS2 | pre-draft | 26 | 14 | 53.8% |
| IEM Beijing 2026: Global CQ | CS2 | post-draft | 26 | 26 | 100.0% |
| IEM Cologne Major 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 41 | 27 | 65.8% |
| LB Masters Season 1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| Media Eleague 2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 13 | 10 | 76.9% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #10 | CS2 | pre-draft | 25 | 14 | 56.0% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #10 Play-In | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #11 | CS2 | pre-draft | 36 | 19 | 52.8% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #11 | CS2 | post-draft | 43 | 40 | 93.0% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #11 Play-In | CS2 | pre-draft | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #11 Play-In | CS2 | post-draft | 28 | 24 | 85.7% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #12 | CS2 | pre-draft | 40 | 23 | 57.5% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #12 | CS2 | post-draft | 15 | 13 | 86.7% |
| NODWIN Clutch Series #9 | CS2 | pre-draft | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| PGL Wallachia Season 9 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 39 | 25 | 64.1% |
| Pulse Beat II | CS2 | pre-draft | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| Ranked Episode 3 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 | CS2 | post-draft | 12 | 10 | 83.3% |
| StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: Eu CQ | CS2 | pre-draft | 17 | 7 | 41.2% |
| StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: SA CQ | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 10 | 90.9% |
| Super DraculaN Season 1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Super DraculaN Season 1 | CS2 | post-draft | 11 | 10 | 90.9% |
| The International 2026 | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 42 | 28 | 66.7% |
| The International 2026 | Dota 2 | post-draft | 80 | 78 | 97.5% |
| The International 2026: Eu CQ | Dota 2 | pre-draft | 16 | 9 | 56.3% |
| TP World Championship 2026: Eu Series #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 16 | 9 | 56.3% |
| TP World Championship 2026: SA Series #1 | CS2 | pre-draft | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| TP World Championship 2026: SA Series #2 | CS2 | pre-draft | 16 | 14 | 87.5% |
| XSE Pro League 2026 | CS2 | pre-draft | 37 | 25 | 67.6% |