Consistency vs Peak Performance: What Actually Wins Esports Tournaments?
Consistency helps teams stay alive through long tournaments and avoid costly mistakes. Peak performance decides the biggest series, clutch rounds and title-winning moments.
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The International 2026: SA CQ
Amaru Gaming

Estar_backs
Winio Prediction
Before draft
After draft
Here you will see a detailed justification of the prediction with an analysis of factors affecting the outcome probability.
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| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estar Backs | ||||||||
| ursa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 722 | 997 | 30150 | 32692 | |
| beastmaster | 7 | 8 | 6 | 634 | 896 | 35564 | 26537 | |
| ember spirit | 6 | 8 | 8 | 614 | 833 | 38058 | 23111 | |
| nyx assassin | 2 | 15 | 5 | 307 | 431 | 10843 | 13124 | |
| enchantress | 0 | 9 | 8 | 284 | 432 | 7612 | 10673 | |
| Amaru Gaming (W) | ||||||||
| storm spirit | 18 | 4 | 22 | 705 | 1071 | 40298 | 32987 | |
| witch doctor | 10 | 9 | 22 | 430 | 669 | 22702 | 16294 | |
| phantom assassin | 10 | 3 | 21 | 941 | 1119 | 38595 | 44611 | |
| abyssal underlord | 3 | 4 | 28 | 600 | 880 | 19566 | 28569 | |
| lion | 3 | 4 | 24 | 373 | 599 | 14517 | 13750 | |
| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estar Backs | ||||||||
| beastmaster | 13 | 3 | 7 | 681 | 603 | 16617 | 21171 | |
| ember spirit | 6 | 2 | 13 | 626 | 728 | 26326 | 17070 | |
| enchantress | 3 | 2 | 10 | 363 | 417 | 8616 | 10185 | |
| morphling | 1 | 4 | 12 | 652 | 741 | 9549 | 19353 | |
| keeper of the light | 1 | 3 | 13 | 340 | 427 | 9882 | 8566 | |
| Amaru Gaming (W) | ||||||||
| dawnbreaker | 5 | 3 | 6 | 562 | 644 | 13014 | 16684 | |
| grimstroke | 4 | 3 | 9 | 301 | 377 | 12263 | 8033 | |
| phantom assassin | 3 | 5 | 4 | 538 | 646 | 12721 | 16232 | |
| techies | 1 | 9 | 10 | 317 | 355 | 20056 | 6203 | |
| storm spirit | 1 | 4 | 9 | 507 | 680 | 14941 | 15257 | |
| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estar Backs | ||||||||
| antimage | 20 | 5 | 7 | 1067 | 1198 | 57762 | 51633 | |
| axe | 5 | 11 | 12 | 453 | 689 | 21483 | 24088 | |
| ember spirit | 5 | 5 | 22 | 604 | 873 | 38027 | 30036 | |
| winter wyvern | 4 | 14 | 13 | 343 | 600 | 17813 | 14116 | |
| lion | 1 | 11 | 18 | 314 | 541 | 13011 | 13637 | |
| Amaru Gaming (W) | ||||||||
| abaddon | 14 | 3 | 19 | 861 | 1060 | 58298 | 44059 | |
| storm spirit | 14 | 4 | 22 | 600 | 981 | 46046 | 28030 | |
| rubick | 7 | 11 | 26 | 382 | 544 | 23375 | 18625 | |
| skywrath mage | 5 | 12 | 29 | 346 | 464 | 24936 | 14792 | |
| abyssal underlord | 4 | 5 | 27 | 486 | 803 | 32079 | 25318 | |
Explore a detailed breakdown of the Amaru Gaming vs Estar_backs match at The International 2026: SA CQ. Winio's model tracked both pre-draft and post-draft prediction stages, identified the key draft decisions, and measured how closely the win probability estimate matched the actual result.
Use finished match data to understand how Winio's Dota 2 model performs over time. Each completed match adds to the prediction history available at the Ended Matches section.

Consistency helps teams stay alive through long tournaments and avoid costly mistakes. Peak performance decides the biggest series, clutch rounds and title-winning moments.

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