Finished Match Overview Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere in Dota 2

Dota 2

PGL Wallachia Season 9

Aurora Gaming

0:209/26

Natus Vincere

19Map 143

21Map 232

Winio Prediction

Before draft

After draft

58%

Aurora Gaming

58%

Aurora Gaming

Match breakdown

Our predictions vs actual result

Match winnerwrong

Prediction factors

49 factors analysed · key ones shown

Winio prediction

Aurora Gaming to win

58%42%

Winio rating

1863

1782

Form over 10 matches

63%

60%

First blood

50%

63%

Head-to-head

+6% for Natus Vincere

Model accuracy

Full archive

Form & Head-to-Head

Last five matches and head-to-head over a year.

Rosters & Form

Our rating for every player, powered by the Winio algorithm

player form over the last 10 maps, regardless of team

Additional predictions

First blood

49.2%

Prediction: Natus Vincere

50.8%

Aurora GamingNatus Vincere

First tower

57.0%

Prediction: Aurora Gaming

43.0%

Aurora GamingNatus Vincere

First Roshan

53.9%

Prediction: Aurora Gaming

46.1%

Aurora GamingNatus Vincere

Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere — Dota 2 Match Analysis, September 26 2026

Explore a detailed breakdown of the Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere match at PGL Wallachia Season 9. Winio's model tracked both pre-draft and post-draft prediction stages, identified the key draft decisions, and measured how closely the win probability estimate matched the actual result.

Dota 2 Post-match Analysis: What's Inside

Final result and prediction accuracy. Compare pre-draft and post-draft win probability with the actual outcome and see which draft decisions proved decisive.
Key moments that changed the game. A breakdown of critical events: Roshan fights, high-ground attempts, draft pivots, and individual performances that decided the winner.
Full match statistics. Detailed metrics for both teams and every player: net worth, KDA, damage output, map control, and other indicators that explain the final score.
Comparison with previous meetings. See how this match fits into the teams' head-to-head history and which patterns repeated.

Use finished match data to understand how Winio's Dota 2 model performs over time. Each completed match adds to the prediction history available at the Ended Matches section.