TI 2026 Dota 2 Results: Spirit Win, Winio Hits 96%
Team Spirit won a third Aegis at TI 2026 despite a 52% map win rate. See the standings and how Winio got 22 of 23 predictions right.
Essence II

Team Falcons

liquid
Winio Prediction
Before draft
Prediction: Team Liquid
52.0%Prediction: Team Liquid
51.4%Prediction: Team Liquid
53.4%| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Liquid (W) | ||||||||
| puck | 13 | 3 | 22 | 833 | 1138 | 88340 | 51872 | |
| mirana | 12 | 9 | 25 | 592 | 949 | 57920 | 36000 | |
| shredder | 9 | 7 | 13 | 719 | 948 | 53816 | 45513 | |
| sven | 8 | 7 | 13 | 721 | 1047 | 48554 | 40101 | |
| spirit breaker | 2 | 11 | 30 | 382 | 855 | 22594 | 17709 | |
| Team Falcons | ||||||||
| razor | 14 | 7 | 15 | 700 | 1020 | 65188 | 38402 | |
| ursa | 13 | 6 | 12 | 747 | 1080 | 58914 | 45682 | |
| centaur | 6 | 4 | 27 | 746 | 1092 | 63097 | 42294 | |
| pugna | 2 | 8 | 21 | 397 | 746 | 33102 | 20142 | |
| hoodwink | 2 | 19 | 22 | 374 | 631 | 15997 | 18144 | |
| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Liquid (W) | ||||||||
| windrunner | 13 | 0 | 9 | 707 | 696 | 23359 | 17660 | |
| lycan | 6 | 1 | 16 | 530 | 599 | 11671 | 14424 | |
| mirana | 3 | 4 | 17 | 434 | 524 | 19525 | 9917 | |
| tusk | 3 | 2 | 15 | 298 | 476 | 10439 | 7927 | |
| ember spirit | 2 | 2 | 14 | 446 | 518 | 18697 | 11243 | |
| Team Falcons | ||||||||
| necrolyte | 3 | 8 | 1 | 483 | 509 | 16472 | 11690 | |
| centaur | 3 | 2 | 3 | 548 | 601 | 13259 | 13545 | |
| oracle | 2 | 6 | 8 | 212 | 304 | 8574 | 4170 | |
| lone druid | 1 | 6 | 3 | 362 | 379 | 6446 | 8478 | |
| rattletrap | 0 | 5 | 4 | 207 | 270 | 8500 | 5053 | |
| Player | Hero | K | D | A | GPM | XPM | HD | NW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Liquid (W) | ||||||||
| storm spirit | 19 | 3 | 17 | 760 | 1056 | 66226 | 37523 | |
| windrunner | 10 | 5 | 18 | 785 | 1021 | 56877 | 41771 | |
| centaur | 6 | 3 | 26 | 684 | 968 | 39209 | 39146 | |
| skywrath mage | 4 | 8 | 23 | 328 | 541 | 22127 | 16076 | |
| tusk | 0 | 10 | 24 | 363 | 640 | 14941 | 17539 | |
| Team Falcons | ||||||||
| necrolyte | 12 | 3 | 10 | 853 | 1121 | 98226 | 48085 | |
| life stealer | 8 | 6 | 11 | 655 | 949 | 44689 | 37430 | |
| pangolier | 5 | 4 | 18 | 628 | 841 | 42559 | 32483 | |
| mirana | 3 | 12 | 12 | 333 | 556 | 17353 | 13120 | |
| rattletrap | 1 | 14 | 15 | 247 | 446 | 13031 | 11914 | |
Explore a detailed breakdown of the Team Falcons vs liquid match at Essence II. Winio's model tracked both pre-draft and post-draft prediction stages, identified the key draft decisions, and measured how closely the win probability estimate matched the actual result.
Use finished match data to understand how Winio's Dota 2 model performs over time. Each completed match adds to the prediction history available at the Ended Matches section.

Team Spirit won a third Aegis at TI 2026 despite a 52% map win rate. See the standings and how Winio got 22 of 23 predictions right.

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